All indications are that the Beach Boys will debut at number 3 on the Billboard Album chart when it is released on Thursday.
Hits Daily Double, the site that samples retailers to prognosticate sales for the week, shows That’s Why God Made the Radio selling an estimated 63,645 copies (they call it their “power index”) which puts it over 20,000 ahead of its closest competition, Big K.R.I.T.’s Live From the Underground. Ahead of Brian Wilson and company are Adele’s 21 (estimated 74,000 sales) and Alan Jackson’s Thirty Miles West (200 less), either of which could end up at number 1 once sales figures are finalized.
The last Beach Boys album to chart higher was 1974’s Endless Summer which topped the charts. The last studio album to make it that high was 1965’s Summer Days (and Summer Nights!!!) which peaked at number 2.
Other veteran artists making big debuts are Neil Young and Crazy Horse whose Americana is estimated at 35,500 copies and a number 8 start, and Joe Walsh whose Analog Man opens with around 23,000 and and estimated number 12. Much farther down is the new soundtrack to the Beatles’ Yellow Submarine with sales of just over 9,000 and a debut in the low 30’s.